I. THE SCENE The ESA Commercialisation Gateway panel on Future Space Transportation, SLPP Spring Session 2026. The Polish head of agency says dual-use technology is not a choice but an urgency. Satellite imagery, secure communications, the ability to see and to speak without being seen or silenced—these decide whether a state survives. The Polish position…
1. The Third-Order Effect: Physical Shortages The Shift from Price to Availability The first two orders of effect were about price. The third order is about availability. A price shock can be absorbed, deferred, or passed on. A physical shortage cannot. When the truck does not arrive, the shelf is empty. When the container does…
The narcocorrido does not begin with champagne. It begins with dust. A guitar is plucked like a heel on hard earth. An accordion breathes like a man who has walked too far. The song smells of diesel, gun oil, and the kitchen where a mother is still boiling beans for a son who will not…
Gradualism is not a luxury. It is the only vaccine against the strongman. In the main essay, we traced the arc of Russia’s collapse in the 1990s – how shock therapy produced a national trauma, how a grievance‑fuelled strongman rose from that trauma, and how the cycle of confrontation has trapped both Russia and the…
From the collapse of the Soviet Union to the post‑Hormuz world, a thirty‑year cycle of grievance and overreach has left both nations trapped. But the baseline of rational policy is still within reach. 1. The Missed Exit: 1990 The Soviet Union did not have to die as it did. In September 1990, the “Shatalin Plan”…